I’m sure there is sometimes deliberate framing in the phrasing, but the journalists themselves may well be subject to the innumeracy that their readers suffer from.

The problem with martingale betting is not so much that in an infinite series of events any combination is equally likely to occur. The problem is that, while you are certain to win at some point, that point may be infinitely far into the future, and require infinite resources.

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Accidental behavioural economist in search of wisdom. Uses insights from (behavioural) economics in organization development. On Twitter as @koenfucius

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